
Re: Is Religion Going Extinct?
Wow, you crawled out of the woodworks. Welcome back! I've enjoyed some of your older posts.
There are many lenses through which to gauge what will happen to religion. Here's a couple I thought of, the meme one tribute to you:
Memetic lens:
Just because new exciting memes have emerged in the memepool doesn't mean older meme(plexes) will go extinct. Just like the cyclical recurrence of influenza, different interpretations(such as Robert Tulip's) mutate the meme enough so that it can survive in a modern world. Yet there is far less safe territory for such a meme to develop, with science informing all our knowledge like a creeping moss. It will survive, but to a far lesser overall degree, and in an altered denomination.
Stratification lens:
With the humanity's knowledge pool growing at the rate it is, people will have to study for longer and longer to reach the frontiers of science in the various fields. To understand how different theories will fit together into "theories of everything", a person will likely have to study their entire life to be able to inform. Young geniuses and other brilliant people will still do it faster, but it will take more time than before. But future society will still need the majority of the population to be educated in entirely different things. As the frontiers of science get ever and ever further from baseline, it will polarize the people who understand it from those who barely understand a thing about the fields of science that deal with theories of everything. Even "layscientists" such as myself would find it increasingly difficult to follow along, as the math outdistances our ability to comprehend it without extensive study.
So while laypeople are still able to follow along at the moment, religion will decline in those educated countries. But at some point in the future, our theories, even though empirically validated, will seem as magical to most people as biblical stories. Only a lifetime of study would withdraw the curtain to reveal the science behind the magic. This would provide a good environment for the resurgence of religion.