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How do you think McCain will do as president?

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Mr. Pessimistic Mr. Pessimistic has been starred
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 3:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Hopefully we will not find out how President McCain will fare. Why are we counting out Obama?

The way I see it...people are getting sick of Republican rule. My long time Repuglican friend is voting democratic. This is amazing to me, as he was a stalwart for Bush and the Republican nonsense all his life.

Republican had their shot at total control and they fucked it all up. I cannot see the party holding on right now...but I also could not see how Bush could get elected twice either. I can go either way.

I dont know...but I have this sense that history will be made this election.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
I started this thread, and you can see which way I said the election would go. Possibly I suck as a prognosticator Sad .

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 5:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
I am not counting out Obama, I'm just worried that the polls put the two candidates so close to each other when McCain is obviously not a good candidate.

Obama already has the unaninous votes of "the rest of the world", but my sources tell me those votes will again not reach the ballot box-- which is a shame, as I think we would return a reasonable candidate with a greater freequency.

I think age is a factor that should play against McCain. Miterrand and Chirac in France, and Reagan in the US, were much too old in their second terms (terms used to be 7 years in France).
I think there are things you can do in your seventies, for example continue to run a family business you've run all your life, or paint in you are an artist, and a lot of other things, but you should exclude: becoming the CEO of a big multinational for the first time, running for president, or running for the Olympics.
The way McCain moves and speaks look slow to me, and unsuitable to the tasks he will have to face.
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 14, 2008 12:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Obama is too inexperienced for such a position. And he appears to make bad decisions on a regular basis.

Of course many nations want Obama as Commander in Chief of the United States military forces. I would too if I were Mahmoud Ahmadinejad or any of the other sponsors of terrorism. There is very little chance that a pacifist like Obama will ever challenge terrorism directly.

If Russia continues their aggression in Europe who will bail out the former Soviet republics? Obama or McCain? Putin has plans to rejoin those republics. If you doubt this keep watching the news this week.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 19, 2008 7:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Chris OConnor wrote:
Obama is too inexperienced for such a position. And he appears to make bad decisions on a regular basis.


Better get used to the idea of President Obama.

I think the usual response to a bad economy is for America to switch parties. It's always about the economy. In this case we have rising gas prices and backlash to an extremely unpopular war as well. Obama may be inexperienced, but youth is part of his appeal. He's a very good speaker and he's got a lot of momentum, despite the occasional gaffe or two. I'm afraid they'd have to prove he's having an affair or he's gay (or an atheist Smile)for him to lose this one. Or if he selects an extreme liberal for his running mate.

I like McCain personally. I was telling everybody what a great president he'd be eight years ago. I just don't think he has much of a chance in 2008.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 25, 2008 10:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
geo wrote:
Better get used to the idea of President Obama.

I think the usual response to a bad economy is for America to switch parties. It's always about the economy. In this case we have rising gas prices and backlash to an extremely unpopular war as well. Obama may be inexperienced, but youth is part of his appeal. He's a very good speaker and he's got a lot of momentum, despite the occasional gaffe or two. I'm afraid they'd have to prove he's having an affair or he's gay (or an atheist Smile)for him to lose this one. Or if he selects an extreme liberal for his running mate.

I like McCain personally. I was telling everybody what a great president he'd be eight years ago. I just don't think he has much of a chance in 2008.


I more or less agree with this assessment. In fact, I find it somewhat amusing that DWill and a few others ever assumed a McCain victory was inevitable. Even back in April (when this thread was started), the unpopularity of the Iraq war and the faltering economy made it pretty obvious that the 2008 election was Senator Obama's to lose. Add in the cult of personality that's developed around him and it seems like he'd actually have to intentionally throw the election in order not to win.

As someone who's been a staunch McCain supporter for almost a decade now, I wish the situation were different. At first I thought that the success of "the surge" and the dramatic security turnaround in Iraq that resulted from it might bouy McCain's chances; it was, after all, a strategy that he was pushing for almost a full year before the Bush Administration instituted it. But most of the US media doesn't cover news that looks good for conservatives, especially not conservatives who are running against Senator Obama, so that didn't happen. The vastly-improved situation in Iraq is slowly seeping into the public conciousness, but I doubt it will progress far enough or fast enough to help McCain.

And on top of all this you have the liberal celebrity smear-machine working full time to make McCain look like some sort of monster. I mean seriously, what ever happened to civilly stating "I disagree with Senator McCain about _____ because of _____."? What happened to respecting people who have devoted most of their lives to serving their country? Nowadays you're apparently HitlerMcCainMugabe simply for having the terminity to run against Obama.

If McCain chooses the perfect running mate, and if he clearly wins the debates, and if the Republicans have a truly inspiring convention, then he has an outside chance of winning in November. But the smart money is still on Obama, and probably will be right up through election day.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 25, 2008 1:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Greg Neuman wrote:

<snip>
As someone who's been a staunch McCain supporter for almost a decade now, I wish the situation were different. At first I thought that the success of "the surge" and the dramatic security turnaround in Iraq that resulted from it might bouy McCain's chances; it was, after all, a strategy that he was pushing for almost a full year before the Bush Administration instituted it. But most of the US media doesn't cover news that looks good for conservatives, especially not conservatives who are running against Senator Obama, so that didn't happen. The vastly-improved situation in Iraq is slowly seeping into the public conciousness, but I doubt it will progress far enough or fast enough to help McCain.

And on top of all this you have the liberal celebrity smear-machine working full time to make McCain look like some sort of monster. I mean seriously, what ever happened to civilly stating "I disagree with Senator McCain about _____ because of _____."? What happened to respecting people who have devoted most of their lives to serving their country? Nowadays you're apparently HitlerMcCainMugabe simply for having the terminity to run against Obama.

If McCain chooses the perfect running mate, and if he clearly wins the debates, and if the Republicans have a truly inspiring convention, then he has an outside chance of winning in November. But the smart money is still on Obama, and probably will be right up through election day.


I agree with you. I don't think it will be a landslide either way. Our country seems pretty divided on who is to be our next leader. Generally I agree with Chris' assessment that McCain is a great choice for conservatives who are disgusted with the Republican's pandering to the religious right. I myself feel very much disenfranchised by the Republicans. This year marks the first time ever that I have registered as a Democrat. And for what it's worth, I like our choices. I don't tread in fear of an Obama win. And I wouldn't be disappointed if McCain won either.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 25, 2008 5:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Greg Neuman wrote:
I more or less agree with this assessment. In fact, I find it somewhat amusing that DWill and a few others ever assumed a McCain victory was inevitable.


I have an escape clause, Greg. Back in April, Obama looked way too liberal to be elected. He was no Bill Clinton, no "new" democrat. Since then, he has moved to the center, which shows him to be a waffler, a person of no principles, a political realist, a unifier, or other label, good or bad, depending on whether one wants him to win or not.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 25, 2008 6:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
DWill wrote:


I have an escape clause, Greg. Back in April, Obama looked way too liberal to be elected. He was no Bill Clinton, no "new" democrat. Since then, he has moved to the center, which shows him to be a waffler, a person of no principles, a political realist, a unifier, or other label, good or bad, depending on whether one wants him to win or not.

DWill


If you're in the business of getting elected, you must pander to the collective idiocy of our electorate, at least to some degree. McCain's done plenty of it himself, I assure you. I remember when he didn't pander to the religious right, now he courts it. I'll bet he rehearsed the "life begins at conception" line in the mirror before the Saddleback forum recently. The proposed gas tax holiday he and Hillary both proposed was pure posturing. I could probably come up with more examples without trying too hard. I agree that Obama has moved to the center, but he'd be a damned fool if he didn't. That's what politics is all about.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 8:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
A fringe candidate like Senator Obama must run to the center once he gets his party's nomination. Conversely, a relatively moderate candidate like Senator McCain must run to his base once he gets his party's nomination. We're seeing both in action in this election; a left wing Democrat moving a little towards the center-left, and a center-right Republican moving a little towards the right wing. Both are simply trying to shore up support among people who should be voting for them but aren't quite on board yet.

Still, this election has belonged to the Democrats since mid-2007 or so. At that time there was little progress in the Iraq war, and the effects of the housing bust were starting to be seen in other sectors of the economy. An unpopular war or economic woes always spell trouble for the incumbent party, but both together are pretty much a death sentence. It doesn't matter that one of those problems (Iraq) has since seen a dramatic reversal ... it doesn't even matter that McCain was was a driving force behind the strategy that caused the reversal. On the national scale, all that matters is the public perception: "Republican bad, Democrat good".

Quote:
If you're in the business of getting elected, you must pander to the collective idiocy of our electorate, at least to some degree.


I don't believe the US electorate is idiotic. They are just people who don't have the time or inclination to study politics too deeply. They want simple answers to complex questions, which is why ridiculous ideas like "pull all of our troops out of Iraq right now" or "force American companies to stop shipping jobs overseas" actually find traction. Your average Jane or Joe doesn't understand the long term value of nation-building or the historical failures of protectionism; they just want soldiers to stop dying and their neighbors to stop losing jobs. Convincing people that the long, painful, expensive, and complex solution is the right one can be exceedingly difficult.

Finally, I agree with Geo that an Obama presidency is nothing to fear. All of those liberals who screamed and cried and threatened to leave the country after President Bush's 2004 victory were (and still are) utterly pathetic. This is a democracy, and in a democracy your guy doesn't always win. When you disagree with our leaders, you dissent when you feel you must. The rest of the time you support our country and try to be an intelligent, productive, and responsible citizen. I don't want Senator Obama to win the election, but if he does he'll have my loyalty even if he doesn't always have my agreement.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 11:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Quote:

I don't believe the US electorate is idiotic. They are just people who don't have the time or inclination to study politics too deeply. They want simple answers to complex questions, which is why ridiculous ideas like "pull all of our troops out of Iraq right now" or "force American companies to stop shipping jobs overseas" actually find traction. Your average Jane or Joe doesn't understand the long term value of nation-building or the historical failures of protectionism; they just want soldiers to stop dying and their neighbors to stop losing jobs. Convincing people that the long, painful, expensive, and complex solution is the right one can be exceedingly difficult.


"Collective idiocy" does sound awfully harsh, doesn't it? I wish I hadn't said it like that. And yet it's probably true that politics must be dumbed down for the masses. Individuals are not idiots, but collectively they are a lumbering beast with a low IQ. Even so, this lumbering beast can determine that it doesn't much like the war, doesn't much like the current president (approval rating) and knows the economy isn't doing so well. "Republican bad, Democrat good" indeed!

Quote:

<snip> This is a democracy, and in a democracy your guy doesn't always win. When you disagree with our leaders, you dissent when you feel you must. The rest of the time you support our country and try to be an intelligent, productive, and responsible citizen. I don't want Senator Obama to win the election, but if he does he'll have my loyalty even if he doesn't always have my agreement.


Very well stated. I like your attitude.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 12:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
McCain will be consistent with most, if not all, Presidents: serve the wealthiest (and tiniest) constituencies while bamboozling the majority through fantasies of military might and fears of homeland insecurities.

He will enable our worst delusions of national identities, playing a worn out tune of American exceptionalism at the expense of any rational, intelligent, or moral allegiences we will require to actually survive.

He will encourage our basest appetites by continuing the ignorance that consumption equals democracy: that the more stuff you have the freer you are...a growing economy equals a healthier planet kind of bullshit...the mantra of more is better with a slight maverick tinge.

He will bolster the lie that wealthy, white, militarist males are our only real suitable leaders...thereby making a farce of any pretentions to democracy we express or wage war to defend.

He may very well be the swan-song of the American Empire: the last hurrah and final belch.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Dissident Heart wrote:
McCain will be consistent with most, if not all, Presidents: serve the wealthiest (and tiniest) constituencies while bamboozling the majority through fantasies of military might and fears of homeland insecurities.

He will enable our worst delusions of national identities, playing a worn out tune of American exceptionalism at the expense of any rational, intelligent, or moral allegiences we will require to actually survive.

He will encourage our basest appetites by continuing the ignorance that consumption equals democracy: that the more stuff you have the freer you are...a growing economy equals a healthier planet kind of bullshit...the mantra of more is better with a slight maverick tinge.

He will bolster the lie that wealthy, white, militarist males are our only real suitable leaders...thereby making a farce of any pretentions to democracy we express or wage war to defend.

He may very well be the swan-song of the American Empire: the last hurrah and final belch.


And he'll get his ring back, destroy Gondor, and cover Middle Earth in a second darkess. Don't forget those.
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 3:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Greg Neuman wrote:


And he'll get his ring back, destroy Gondor, and cover Middle Earth in a second darkess. Don't forget those.


I think you are confusing McCain with Karl Rove....
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 3:32 pm    Post subject: